Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 3.113781e-02 0.036863 0.042820 0.049440 0.056556 0.063940 0.072151
2026-01-04 2.121880e-02 0.029085 0.037832 0.048095 0.059639 0.072085 0.086385
2026-01-11 1.610068e-02 0.025201 0.035912 0.049010 0.064230 0.081058 0.100797
2026-01-18 1.222208e-02 0.021931 0.034003 0.049322 0.067609 0.088237 0.112820
2026-01-25 9.374120e-03 0.019384 0.032519 0.049749 0.070795 0.094930 0.124055
2026-02-01 6.972384e-03 0.016952 0.030821 0.049620 0.073082 0.100389 0.133710
2026-02-08 4.427709e-03 0.013687 0.027603 0.047245 0.072385 0.102139 0.138889
2026-02-15 2.942389e-03 0.011698 0.025870 0.046572 0.073612 0.106034 0.146452
2026-02-22 2.078597e-03 0.010561 0.025211 0.047211 0.076394 0.111727 0.156073
2026-03-01 1.433136e-03 0.009618 0.024719 0.047988 0.079289 0.117510 0.165762
2026-03-08 1.045680e-03 0.009114 0.024844 0.049574 0.083189 0.124495 0.176867
2026-03-15 6.555641e-04 0.008355 0.024458 0.050376 0.086029 0.130151 0.186357
2026-03-22 6.318914e-04 0.008851 0.026315 0.054563 0.093518 0.141797 0.203359
2026-03-29 1.855831e-04 0.007221 0.024321 0.053088 0.093518 0.144173 0.209234
2026-04-05 5.390311e-05 0.006586 0.024015 0.054042 0.096712 0.150507 0.219882
2026-04-12 2.149993e-07 0.005815 0.023335 0.054369 0.099020 0.155702 0.229126
2026-04-19 NaN 0.005157 0.022773 0.054818 0.101457 0.161034 0.238518
2026-04-26 NaN 0.004404 0.021880 0.054682 0.103047 0.165260 0.246530
2026-05-03 NaN 0.003167 0.019604 0.052183 0.101259 0.165096 0.249071
2026-05-10 NaN 0.002502 0.018489 0.051475 0.101910 0.168015 0.255383
2026-05-17 NaN 0.002188 0.018218 0.052147 0.104496 0.173420 0.264766
2026-05-24 NaN 0.001932 0.018048 0.052965 0.107276 0.179071 0.274451
2026-05-31 NaN 0.001844 0.018371 0.054634 0.111276 0.186309 0.286116